Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

PoliticsVolumen: $839.3KLikviditás: $73.5K

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially announces it will disarm in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements supported by the Secretary-General of Hezbollah (currently Naim Qassem), a direct successor, or, if the position of Secretary-General of Hezbollah is vacant, the widely acknowledged leadership of Hezbollah will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish o...

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Kimenetelek (2)

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

32.5%

Igen 33%Nem 68%

Volumen: $14.2KLikviditás: $10.2K

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

0.6%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $825.0KLikviditás: $63.3K

Lezárás: 2026. 03. 31.