Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

BusinessVolumen: $1.1MLikviditás: $47.9K

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The reso...

Árfolyam történet

Kimenetelek (11)

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

100.0%

Igen 100%Nem 0%

Volumen: $258.0KLikviditás: $0

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

29.5%

Igen 30%Nem 71%

Volumen: $337.0KLikviditás: $15.3K

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

16.5%

Igen 17%Nem 84%

Volumen: $537.6KLikviditás: $7.6K

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

8.2%

Igen 8%Nem 92%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $8.4K

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?

6.0%

Igen 6%Nem 94%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $1.7K

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?

5.5%

Igen 6%Nem 95%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $5.2K

Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?

5.0%

Igen 5%Nem 95%

Volumen: $4.0KLikviditás: $5.0K

Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?

4.0%

Igen 4%Nem 96%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $1.5K

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

3.8%

Igen 4%Nem 96%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $258

Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?

2.6%

Igen 3%Nem 97%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $4.1K

Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?

2.6%

Igen 3%Nem 97%

Volumen: $0Likviditás: $403

Lezárás: 2026. 06. 30.