How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

ScienceVolumen: $513.8KLikviditás: $16.1K

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. ...

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Kimenetelek (8)

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

52.5%

Igen 53%Nem 48%

Volumen: $102.8KLikviditás: $436

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

44.5%

Igen 45%Nem 56%

Volumen: $117.4KLikviditás: $1.7K

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

2.9%

Igen 3%Nem 97%

Volumen: $161.7KLikviditás: $3.4K

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

1.1%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $14.7KLikviditás: $1.7K

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

0.8%

Igen 1%Nem 99%

Volumen: $10.8KLikviditás: $1.2K

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

0.1%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $63.4KLikviditás: $2.1K

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

0.1%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $11.0KLikviditás: $2.6K

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

0.1%

Igen 0%Nem 100%

Volumen: $32.0KLikviditás: $3.2K

Lezárás: 2027. 01. 01.